Σε αρνητικές, από σταθερές, υποβάθμισε τις προοπτικές του αξιόχρεου του Ηνωμένου Βασιλείου, ο οίκος Moody’s, επικαλούμενος την εξασθένηση της θεσμικής ισχύς της Κυβέρνησης, των κινδύνων από το αυξανόμενο δημόσιο χρέος και της επιβράδυνσης της ανάπτυξης.
We develop an early-warning model of sovereign debt crises. A country is defined to be in a debt crisis if it is classified as being in default by Standard & Poor’s, or if it has access to nonconcessional IMF financing in excess of 100 percent of quota. By means of logit and binary recursive tree…
We construct a financial vulnerability indicator that is consistent with the theoretical literature on determinants of defaults. It is based on the amount of new foreign financing that is needed to avoid a default or an import adjustment, expressed as a proportion of the country’s sources of foreign currency. As the need for new foreign…
Intercreditor equity represents one of the main objectives of bankruptcy proceedings. Yet, recent restructurings of sovereign debt suggest that violation of intercreditor equity is common. While existing contractual provisions, and guidelines issued by creditor committees, establish fundamental principles about creditor treatment, they seem to remain too vague to guide debt restructuring processes effectively. The paper…
